Recent Articles
Does Debt Matter?
Robert Skidelsky
Project Syndicate
| Friday, January 20, 2012
LONDON – Europe is now haunted by the specter of debt. All European leaders quail before it. To exorcise the demon, they are putting their economies through the wringer.
It doesn’t seem to be helping. Their economies are still tumbling, and the debt continues to grow. The credit ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has just downgraded the sovereign-debt ratings of nine eurozone countries, including France. The United Kingdom is likely to follow.
To anyone not blinded by folly, the explanation for this mass downgrade is obvious. If you deliberately aim to shrink your GDP, your debt-to-GDP ratio is bound to grow. The only way to cut your debt (other than by default) is to get your economy to grow.
Fear of debt is rooted in human nature;
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As the economic crisis deepens, this is the moment to consider moving towards much shorter, more flexible paid working hours - sharing out jobs and unpaid time more fairly across the population.
nef's event About Time takes forward the ideas from its highly acclaimed report 21 Hours to examine how this could help to address a range of urgent social, economic and environmental problems we face.
On 11 January, the event brings together a panel of leading experts in partnership with the Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion (CASE) at the London School of Economics:
Lord Robert Skidelsky, Emeritus Professor of Political Economy at the University of Warwick and biographer of J. M. Keynes, and Dr Edward Skidelsky, University of Exeter,
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The Euro in a Shrinking Zone
Robert Skidelsky
Project Syndicate
| Monday, December 19, 2011
The recent European Union summit was a disaster. Both Britain and Germany played the wrong game: British Prime Minister David Cameron isolated Britain from Europe, while German Chancellor Angela Merkel isolated the eurozone from reality.
Had Cameron brought an economic-growth agenda to the summit, he would have been fighting for something real, and would not have lacked allies. As it was, he fully accepted Merkel’s austerity agenda – which his own government is implementing independently – and chose to veto proposals for a new European treaty to protect the City of London. This cheered up the Euroskeptics in Cameron’s Conservative Party, but it offered nothing to counter the lethal medicine prescribed by Germany’s Iron Lady.
The
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Robert appeared this week on the BBC World Service's Forum programme to talk about the financial crisis and ways towards recovery, along with two other economists - Far East specialist Danny Quah and Middle East specialist Timur Kuran.
In his autumn statement today the chancellor claimed it was his deficit reduction plan that enabled the British government to borrow money even more cheaply than the Germans, thus saving the taxpayer £21bn in interest rate charges over five years. Ed Balls rejoined that "he still clings to the illiterate fantasy that low long-term interest rates in Britain are a sign of enhanced credibility and not, as they were in Japan in the 1990s or in America today, a sign of stagnant growth in our economy". The intellectual debate between George Osborne and his critics hinges on this single point: what is it that makes a deficit-reduction programme "credible"?
Let's start with the theory of the matter. "Look after unemployment," JM Keynes said,
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